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Bayesian Inference

Record red or white chips drawn from a mystery bag. Each chip shifts the chance that the bag is Bag A (70% red) or Bag B (40% red).

Bayesian Thinking: Which Bag Is It?

Suppose you randomly pick one of two bags. Draw chips from the bag and watch how your beliefs update as evidence accumulates.

Bag A (70% Red)
Bag B (40% Red)
Posterior Probabilities
Probability Bag A:50.0%
Probability Bag B:50.0%
History:
No chips drawn yet
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