You are fitting the model
y^=ax2+bx+c\hat{y} = a x^2 + b x + cy^=ax2+bx+c
so that it passes exactly through three logged measurements:
The unknowns being solved for are the parameters aaa, bbb, ccc — not xxx and yyy.
What does the fitted model predict at x=4x = 4x=4?
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